Phillies vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 11
On July 11, 2025, the Philadelphia Phillies, led by Alec Bohm, will face off against the San Diego Padres, featuring Manny Machado, at PETCO Park starting at 9:40 p.m. ET. The Phillies are currently favored with a moneyline of -150, while the Padres are underdogs with odds of +125. In terms of the run line, Philadelphia is favored at -1. jelly asia games5 with +110 odds. The total runs for the game are set at 7 bmw.55.5, with -105 for the over and -115 for the under.
Here’s everything you need from a betting perspective regarding the Phillies-Padres game, covering the run line, moneyline, and total, along with expert picks. Don’t forget to catch the action on FOX Sports!
Phillies vs. Padres Game Information & Odds
When: Friday, July 11, 2025, at 9:40 p.m. ET
Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SDPA, and NBCS-PH
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total Over | Total Odds | Total Under | Under Odds | Run Line Favorite | Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -150 | +125 | 7.5 | -105 | -115 | -1.5 | +110 | -132 |
Phillies vs. Padres Prediction
Score Prediction: Padres 5, Phillies 4
Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Phillies 51%, Padres 49%
Phillies vs. Padres Betting Insights
The Phillies have secured 47 wins (65.3%) out of the 72 games where they were favorites this season. They hold a 34-11 record in matchups where they were favored by at least -150 on the moneyline. According to sportsbooks, the Phillies possess a 60% chance of winning.
On the other hand, the Padres have attained 21 victories in the 44 games they’ve played as underdogs this season. Their win-loss record stands at 9-14 when sportsbooks have listed them as +125 or worse. The Padres’ implied victory probability is 44.4% based on the current moneyline.
Phillies Recent Betting Performance
In their last 10 matchups, the Phillies hold a 5-2 record when favored on the moneyline. Together with their opponents, they have surpassed the total in three of these contests (all 10 games had set totals). Philadelphia’s ATS record is 7-3-0 over the last 10 games.
Phillies Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 2.55 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
Phillies Player Insights
Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 29 home runs and 68 RBIs, ranking fourth in homers and ninth in RBIs across Major League Baseball. Schwarber has been consistent, with hits in six consecutive games, averaging .289 with three doubles, four home runs, five walks, and 11 RBIs in his last 10 outings.
Trea Turner boasts a .294 batting average, leading his team, though he ranks 93rd in homers and 92nd in RBIs this season. Nick Castellanos is batting .276 with 22 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs, and 20 walks, having secured at least one hit in his last two games.
Alec Bohm holds a .282 average, with 12 doubles, two triples, and eight home runs, also recording hits in his last two games. In the past five games, he’s hitting .278 with one home run, four walks, and three RBIs jili no1 casino.
Phillies Team Props
| Player | Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos | 0.5 (-255) | 1.5 (+110) | – | 0.5 (+165) |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 (-175) | 1.5 (+115) | – | 0.5 (+135) |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+140) | – | 0.5 (+205) |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 (-240) | 1.5 (+100) | – | 0.5 (+130) |
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 (-235) | 1.5 (+145) | – | 0.5 (+195) |
Padres Recent Betting Performance
As underdogs in four of their last 10 games, the Padres have won two. In their last 10 games with a total, they have collectively hit the over four times. Their record is currently 4-6-0 ATS in these recent matches.
Padres Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.8 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.04 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
Padres Player Insights
Manny Machado leads the Padres with 16 home runs and 54 RBIs, coupled with a team-high batting average of .291. He ranks 36th in home runs and 29th in RBIs across the league. Fernando Tatis Jr. matches Machado with 16 home runs and is currently 36th overall in homers and 89th in RBIs this season.
Luis Arraez is hitting .285 with 17 doubles, four triples, and five home runs, while Gavin Sheets contributes with 14 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs, and 27 walks, posting a .269 batting average.
Padres Team Props
| Player | Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado | 0.5 (-240) | 1.5 (+120) | – | 0.5 (+160) |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+125) | – | 0.5 (+235) |
| Luis Arraez | 1.5 (+185) | 1.5 (+130) | – | 0.5 (+255) |
| Ryan Bergert | – | – | – | – |
| Martin Maldonado | – | – | – | – |
Recently, Fernando Tatis hit a home run to get the Padres on the scoreboard against the Arizona Diamondbacks. cgebet3
This content was created by FOX Sports using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar. jili77
What do you expect from the upcoming game between the Phillies and Padres?